{"id":39138,"date":"2025-11-04T12:35:10","date_gmt":"2025-11-04T11:35:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/?post_type=bc_industry&#038;p=39138"},"modified":"2026-04-09T12:36:51","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T10:36:51","slug":"risk-modelling-and-data-driven-insight-in-finance-and-insurance","status":"publish","type":"bc_industry","link":"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/industries\/finance-and-insurance\/risk-modelling-and-data-driven-insight-in-finance-and-insurance\/","title":{"rendered":"Risk modelling and data-driven insight in finance and insurance"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<p><strong>At NR, we use statistical modelling and machine learning to solve complex challenges in finance and insurance. We help companies better understand risk, predict market trends and make more precise, data-driven decisions. Our work promotes innovation, efficiency and resilience in areas like risk assessment, credit rating and property valuation.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>In collaboration with partners and clients, we develop models and tools that enhance precision, control and confidence in decision-making processes. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/11\/bjorvika-skyline-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Downtown Oslo: Urban high-rises against overcast sky. \" class=\"wp-image-39142\" style=\"aspect-ratio:16\/9;object-fit:cover;width:980px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/11\/bjorvika-skyline-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/nr.no\/content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/11\/bjorvika-skyline-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/nr.no\/content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/11\/bjorvika-skyline-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nr.no\/content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/11\/bjorvika-skyline-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/nr.no\/content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/11\/bjorvika-skyline.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image: Benjamin Esteves \/ Unsplash.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Risk modelling&nbsp;and machine learning<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>We develop models for risk assessment, portfolio optimisation, time-series analysis, forecasting and anti-money laundering. Our methods provide decision-makers with deeper insights, stronger analytical foundations, and contribute to financial stability in volatile and uncertain markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Machine learning is used to improve processes related to credit scoring, property valuation, and predictive accuracy. This gives banks and insurance companies a stronger basis for managing risk, understanding customers and setting strategic priorities. <\/p>\n\n\n\t<div class=\"nr-spacer nr-spacer-small wp-block-nr-spacer\">\n\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Modelling risk for the insurance industry<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>For many years, NR has collaborated with SpareBank 1, DNB, and Fremtind to develop methodologies for calculating Solvency Capital Requirements (SCR<strong>)<\/strong> under Solvency II &#8211; the EU framework designed to ensure financial stability and protect consumers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our work also includes estimating risk premiums in non-life insurance, for instance through analyses of the relationship between climate and water damage for Gjensidige.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We also develop models for predicting customer churn, detecting money laundering and insurance fraud, and analysing clickstream data to improve risk management and customer adaptation.<\/p>\n\n\n\t<div class=\"nr-spacer nr-spacer-small wp-block-nr-spacer\">\n\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Artificial intelligence plays an increasingly important role in financial services, but explainability is crucial for trust and accountability. Our XAI solutions make it possible to interpret and explain AI-based decisions, ensuring transparency, safety and fairness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NR has a leading research environment in XAI, with expertise in LIME, Shapley values and counterfactual explanations. We have developed eXplego, a decision-support tool that helps developers select the most suitable XAI methods for their projects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Several of our clients are already using explainable AI to ensure fairness and transparency in their solutions. We are always open to new collaborations with partners and clients in this field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/ansatte\/kjersti-aas\/\"><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<p><strong>Get in touch to learn more about our work in finance and insurance.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\t<div class=\"nr-spacer nr-spacer-small wp-block-nr-spacer\">\n\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n\t\t<div id=\"post-type-multi-block_e72ab22a477f084b22adcddcc10d1b2b\" class=\"wp-block-post-type-multi type-manual style-card-bc_employee t2-grid\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"t2-grid-item-col-12\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/employees\/kjersti-aas\/\" class='card-employee'>\n\t\t\t\t\t<figure>\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/kjersti-aas-20.jpg\" alt=\"\">\n\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"card-employee__content\">\n\t\t\t<p class=\"card-employee__name\">Kjersti Aas<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"card-employee__position\">Research Director SAMBA<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" height=\"24\" width=\"24\" class=\"t2-icon t2-icon-arrowforward\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M15.9 4.259a1.438 1.438 0 0 1-.147.037c-.139.031-.339.201-.421.359-.084.161-.084.529-.001.685.035.066 1.361 1.416 2.947 3l2.882 2.88-10.19.02c-8.543.017-10.206.029-10.29.075-.282.155-.413.372-.413.685 0 .313.131.53.413.685.084.046 1.747.058 10.29.075l10.19.02-2.882 2.88c-1.586 1.584-2.912 2.934-2.947 3-.077.145-.085.521-.013.66a.849.849 0 0 0 .342.35c.156.082.526.081.68-.001.066-.035 1.735-1.681 3.709-3.656 2.526-2.53 3.606-3.637 3.65-3.742A.892.892 0 0 0 23.76 12a.892.892 0 0 0-.061-.271c-.044-.105-1.124-1.212-3.65-3.742-1.974-1.975-3.634-3.616-3.689-3.645-.105-.055-.392-.107-.46-.083\"\/><\/svg>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n\n\t<div class=\"nr-spacer nr-spacer-small wp-block-nr-spacer\">\n\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group has-primary-200-background-color has-background\">\n<p><strong>Our partners include<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>DNB Livsforsikring<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fremtind Forsikring<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Gjensidige<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sparebank1 Forsikring<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\t<div class=\"nr-spacer nr-spacer-small wp-block-nr-spacer\">\n\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n\n<p><strong>Explore our focus areas<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\t\t<div id=\"post-type-multi-block_3ee76e26d8e5fc39f99dd7606b5968be\" class=\"wp-block-post-type-multi type-manual style-card-bc_area t2-grid\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"t2-grid-item-col-12\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/areas\/statistical-modeling-machine-learning-and-artificial-intelligence-ai\/machine-learning\/data-driven-anti-money-laundering\/\" class=\"card-list card-list-area\">\n\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" height=\"24\" width=\"24\" class=\"t2-icon t2-icon-arrowforward\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M15.9 4.259a1.438 1.438 0 0 1-.147.037c-.139.031-.339.201-.421.359-.084.161-.084.529-.001.685.035.066 1.361 1.416 2.947 3l2.882 2.88-10.19.02c-8.543.017-10.206.029-10.29.075-.282.155-.413.372-.413.685 0 .313.131.53.413.685.084.046 1.747.058 10.29.075l10.19.02-2.882 2.88c-1.586 1.584-2.912 2.934-2.947 3-.077.145-.085.521-.013.66a.849.849 0 0 0 .342.35c.156.082.526.081.68-.001.066-.035 1.735-1.681 3.709-3.656 2.526-2.53 3.606-3.637 3.65-3.742A.892.892 0 0 0 23.76 12a.892.892 0 0 0-.061-.271c-.044-.105-1.124-1.212-3.65-3.742-1.974-1.975-3.634-3.616-3.689-3.645-.105-.055-.392-.107-.46-.083\"\/><\/svg>\n\t\tData-driven anti-money laundering\n\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"card-list-excerpt\">At NR, we develop data-driven tools to expose financial crime. Our methods help identify suspicious transactions and support efforts to prevent money laundering.<\/p>\n\t\t\t<\/a>\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"t2-grid-item-col-12\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/areas\/statistical-modeling-machine-learning-and-artificial-intelligence-ai\/explainable-artificial-intelligence-xai\/\" class=\"card-list card-list-area\">\n\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" height=\"24\" width=\"24\" class=\"t2-icon t2-icon-arrowforward\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M15.9 4.259a1.438 1.438 0 0 1-.147.037c-.139.031-.339.201-.421.359-.084.161-.084.529-.001.685.035.066 1.361 1.416 2.947 3l2.882 2.88-10.19.02c-8.543.017-10.206.029-10.29.075-.282.155-.413.372-.413.685 0 .313.131.53.413.685.084.046 1.747.058 10.29.075l10.19.02-2.882 2.88c-1.586 1.584-2.912 2.934-2.947 3-.077.145-.085.521-.013.66a.849.849 0 0 0 .342.35c.156.082.526.081.68-.001.066-.035 1.735-1.681 3.709-3.656 2.526-2.53 3.606-3.637 3.65-3.742A.892.892 0 0 0 23.76 12a.892.892 0 0 0-.061-.271c-.044-.105-1.124-1.212-3.65-3.742-1.974-1.975-3.634-3.616-3.689-3.645-.105-.055-.392-.107-.46-.083\"\/><\/svg>\n\t\tExplainable Artificial Intelligence\n\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"card-list-excerpt\">How are automated decisions made? With better insight, we can ensure the quality of automated calculations and produce accurate explanations.<\/p>\n\t\t\t<\/a>\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">Selected projects in finance and insurance<\/h3>\n\n\n\t\t<div id=\"post-type-multi-block_0f36380d22dc2ae962b53cf4259ca105\" class=\"wp-block-post-type-multi type-manual style-card-bc_project-sm t2-grid\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"t2-grid-item-col-3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/projects\/a-credit-model-for-small-and-medium-sized-enterprises\/\" class=\"card-post card-project\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<figure>\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/06\/austin-distel-wD1LRb9OeEo-unsplash-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"A group of young professionals sit around a coffee table while a man in a white shirt and black jeans holds a presentation, pointing to a whiteboard. It is a modern corporate space and one person has a laptop open on his lap.\">\n\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"card-post__content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"card-post__categories\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li>Machine learning<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"card-post__title\">A credit model for small and medium-sized businesses<\/h3>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/a>\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"t2-grid-item-col-3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/projects\/climate-sensitive-risk-modelling-for-water-damage-in-buildings\/\" class=\"card-post card-project\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<figure>\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/ClimateSensitive.jpg\" alt=\"The image shows a rainy day in Bergen city centre. Buildings are on both sides of a wet street. Foggy mountains are in the background.\">\n\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"card-post__content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"card-post__categories\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li>Statistical modelling<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"card-post__title\">Climate-sensitive risk modelling for water damage in buildings<\/h3>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/a>\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"t2-grid-item-col-3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/projects\/dnbs-total-risk-model\/\" class=\"card-post card-project\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<figure>\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/02\/stock-1863880_1280-1024x682-1.jpg\" alt=\"The image shows a black screen with fluctuating graphs which simulate market stock.\">\n\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"card-post__content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"card-post__categories\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li>Statistical modelling<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"card-post__title\">DNB&#8217;s total risk assessment model<\/h3>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/a>\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"t2-grid-item-col-3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/projects\/predicting-the-market-value-of-liabilities\/\" class=\"card-post card-project\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<figure>\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/nr.no\/content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/micheile-henderson-SoT4-mZhyhE-unsplash-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"A green plant in a clear glass cup filled with coins.\">\n\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"card-post__content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"card-post__categories\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li>Statistical modelling<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li>Machine learning<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"card-post__title\">Predicting the market value of liabilities<\/h3>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/a>\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"featured_media":39142,"parent":90,"menu_order":11,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"editor_notices":[],"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-39138","bc_industry","type-bc_industry","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bc_industry\/39138","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bc_industry"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/bc_industry"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bc_industry\/39138\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41471,"href":"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bc_industry\/39138\/revisions\/41471"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bc_industry\/90"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39142"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nr.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39138"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}