Publication details
- Publisher: Physica-Verlag
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International Standard Numbers:
- Printed: 3-7908-1001-0
The issues of scenario modelling in general is discussed. A distinction is drawn between uncertainty experiments aimed at capturing both statistical and extra-statistical uncertainty, and probing experiments aimed at investigating particular issues. The scenario model concidered is a multi-species fishery model with cod, herring and capelin, and with sevaral fishery fleets differentiated with respect to seasonality and selection pattern. Several VPA-based management strategies are compared in an uncertainty experiment with 13 factors in a fractional factorial design.