Vitenskapelig artikkel

Tuning parameter calibration for personalized prediction in medicine

Huang, Shih-Ting; Düren, Yannick; Hellton, Kristoffer Herland; Lederer, Johannes

Publikasjonsdetaljer

Tidsskrift: Electronic Journal of Statistics, vol. 15, p. 5310–5332–22, 2021

Utgivere: Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Utgave: 2

Internasjonale standardnumre:
Trykt: 1935-7524
Elektronisk: 1935-7524

Lenker:
DOI: doi.org/10.1214/21-EJS1884

Personalized prediction is of high interest in medicine; potential applications include the prediction of individual drug responses or risks of complications. But typical statistical pipelines such as ridge estimation combined with cross-validation ignore the heterogeneity among the patients and, therefore, are not suited for personalized prediction. We, therefore, introduce an alternative ridge-type pipeline that can minimize the prediction error of each patient individually. We show that our pipeline is optimal in terms of oracle inequalities, fast, and highly effective both in simulations and on real data.