Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex; Hellton, Kristoffer Herland; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Dyrrdal, Anita Verpe; Stordal, Frode; Schlichting, Lena; Engeland, Kolbjørn

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Post-processing climate model output to obtain accurate high-resolution climate projections & why uncertainty matters even if the answer is just a number

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Yuan, Qifen; Wong, Wai Kwok; Beldring, Stein; Huang, Shaochun; Xu, Chong-Yu; Guttorp, Peter

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Statistics in climate research: The importance of stochastic modelling and uncertainty quantification

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Yuan, Qifen; Wong, Wai Kwok; Beldring, Stein; Huang, Shaochun; Xu, Chong-Yu; Guttorp, Peter

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Spatial hierarchical modelling with a large number of potential covariates

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Bayesian hierarchical modeling of extreme flood events

Hellton, Kristoffer Herland; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Improving forecasts through rapid updating of temperature trajectories and statistical post-processing

Schuhen, Nina; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Evaluation of bias corrected precipitation output from the EURO-CORDEX climate ensemble

Vandeskog, Silius Mortensønn; Haugen, Marion; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2018

Rapport

Nytt rammeverk for flomestimering i Norge: Sluttrapport fra forskningsprosjektet FlomQ

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Engeland, Kolbjørn; Lawrence, Deborah; Pedersen, Øyvind; Tveito, Ole Einar; Hellton, Kristoffer Herland; Dyrrdal, Anita Verpe; Eide, Vidar; Førland, Eirik; Holmqvist, Erik; Kobierska, Florian; Jørgensen, Sigrid; Midttømme, Grethe Holm; Moore, Richard; Nordtun, Kristian Strand; Orthe, Nils Kristian; Randen, Frode; Reitan, Trond; Ruther, Nils; Schlichting, Lena; Skaugen, Thomas; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Voksø, Astrid; Væringstad, Thomas; Wang, Thea; Wilson, Donna; Ødemark, Karianne

2018

Rapport

Does Bayes beat squinting? Estimating unobserved aspects of a spatial cluster process

Albert-Green, Alisha; Guttorp, Peter; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2018

Rapport

Estimating seal pup production in the Greenland Sea using Bayesian hierarchical modeling

Jullum, Martin; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Bachl, Fabian

2018

Rapport

If you can’t explain it simply, you don’t understand it well enough

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2017

Faglig foredrag

New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue

Benestad, Rasmus; Sillmann, Jana; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Guttorp, Peter; Mesquita, Michel d. S.; Tye, Mari R.; Uotila, Petteri; Fox Maule, Cathrine; Thejll, Peter; Drews, Martin; Parding, Kajsa

2017

Vitenskapelig oversiktsartikkel/review

Sea level adaptation decisions under uncertainty

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Guttorp, Peter; Drews, Martin; Skougaard Kaspersen, Per; Bruin, Karianne de

2017

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Forecaster’s dilemma: Extreme events and forecast evaluation

Lerch, Sebastian; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Ravazzolo, Francesco; Gneiting, Tilmann

2017

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities

Sillmann, Jana; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Keenlyside, Noel; Schaller, Nathalie; Alexander, L. V.; Hegerl, Gabi; Seneviratne, Sonia I.; Vautard, Robert; Zhang, Xuebin; Zwiers, Francis W.

2017

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Bayesian modelling of cluster point process models

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Jullum, Martin; Guttorp, Peter

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

The role of uncertainty in evidence based climate change adaptation

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Guttorp, Peter; Drews, Martin; Skougaard Kaspersen, Per; Bruin, Karianne de

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Probabilistic Forecasting of Temporal Trajectories of Regional Power Production

Løland, Anders; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Spatial trend analysis of gridded temperature data sets at varying spatial scales

Haug, Ola; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Sørbye, Sigrunn Holbek; Franzke, Christian

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

I don’t know, are you sure you want to do this?

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Bruin, Karianne de; Guttorp, Peter; Drews, Martin; Skougaard Kaspersen, Per

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Estimating the seal pup abundance in the Greenland Sea with Bayesian hierarchical modeling

Jullum, Martin; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Bachl, Fabian

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

FlomQ: Improving flood estimation methods for dam safety in Norway

Lawrence, Deborah; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Paquet, Eric R.; Skaugen, Thomas; Engeland, Kolbjørn

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Forecast evaluation I

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Forecast evaluation II

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Influence of reference period on evaluation of temperature output from the EURO-CORDEX climate ensemble using E-OBS data

Haugen, Marion; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2017

Rapport

Evaluation of precipitation output from the EURO-CORDEX climate ensemble using E-OBS data

Vandeskog, Silius Mortensønn; Haugen, Marion; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2017

Rapport

Verification: assessment of calibration and accuracy

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Schuhen, Nina

2017

Rapport

Flomfrekvensanalyse for umålte felt

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Engeland, Kolbjørn; Schlichting, Lena; Lenkoski, Alex

2016

Faglig foredrag

Propagation of rating curve uncertainty in design flood estimation

Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Reitan, Trond; Schlichting, Lena; Hølleland, Sondre; Engeland, Kolbjørn

2016

Poster

Assessing the Calibration of High-Dimensional Ensemble Forecasts Using Rank Histograms

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Scheuerer, Michael; Heinz, Christopher

2016

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Challenges of climate change adaptation: Practical and methodological challenges of climate change adaptation

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Bruin, Karianne de

2016

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Propagation of rating curve uncertainty in design flood estimation

Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Reitan, Trond; Schlichting, Lena; Hølleland, Sondre; Engeland, Kolbjørn

2016

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Comments on: Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings

Lenkoski, Alex; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2016

Leder

Estimating seal pup abundance with LGCP

Jullum, Martin; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Bachl, Fabian

2016

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Regional flood frequency analysis for Norway

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Engeland, Kolbjørn; Lenkoski, Alex; Schlichting, Lena

2016

Vitenskapelig foredrag

FlomQ – Hvor sikkert kan dimensjoneringsgrunnlaget bestemmes?

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2016

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Regional flood frequency analysis for Norway

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Engeland, Kolbjørn; Lenkoski, Alex; Schlichting, Lena

2016

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Paths and pitfalls in model evaluation: The importance of being proper

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2016

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Regional flood frequency analysis for Norway

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2016

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Mixture models for statistical flood frequency analysis

Hindenes, Silje; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir

2016

Rapport

Report from a workshop on practical and methodological challenges of climate change adaptation

Bruin, Karianne de; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2016

Rapport

Progagation of rating curve uncertainty in design flood estimation

Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Reitan, Trond; Schlichting, Lena; Hølleland, Sondre; Engeland, Kolbjørn

2016

Rapport

Shape from texture using locally scaled point processes

Didden, Eva-Maria; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex; Schnörr, Christoph

2015

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Bayesian motion estimation for dust aerosols

Bachl, Fabian; Lenkoski, Alex; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Garbe, Christoph S.

2015

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Spatial postprocessing of ensemble forecasts for temperature using nonhomogeneous Gaussian regression

Feldmann, Kira; Scheuerer, Michael; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2015

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Bayesian hierarchical modeling of extreme hourly precipitation in Norway

Dyrrdal, Anita Verpe; Lenkoski, Alex; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Stordal, Frode

2015

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Gaussian random particles with flexible Hausdorff dimension

Hansen, Linda V.; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Ovcharov, Evgeni; Gneiting, Tilmann; Richards, Donald P

2015

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Assessing the calibration of high-dimensional ensemble forecasts using rank histograms

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2015

Vitenskapelig foredrag

StfSpot — Short Term forecasts of Demand, Renewable Production and Spot Price with Bid/Ask curve analysis — Version 9.5

Huseby, Ragnar Bang; Løland, Anders; Haugen, Marion; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Ferkingstad, Egil; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex

2015

Rapport

A robust flood estimation framework for Norway

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2014

Faglig foredrag

FlomQ – flomberegningsprosjekt

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2014

Faglig foredrag

FlomQ – A robust flood estimation framework for Norway

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2014

Faglig foredrag

A framework for benchmarking of homogenisation algorithm performance on the global scale

Willett, K. M.; Williams, C. N.; Jolliffe, I.T.; Lund, Robert; Alexander, L.V.; Bronnimann, S; Vincent, L.A.; Easterbrook, S; Venema, V.; Berry, David; Warren, R; Lopardo, G; Auchmann, R; Aguilar, E.; Menne, M. J.; Gallagher, C; Hausfather, Z; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Thorne, Peter

2014

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Studying statistical methodology in climate research: Stats + climate workshop; Oslo, Norway, 11-13 November 2013

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Sillmann, Jana; Benestad, Rasmus

2014

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Concepts for benchmarking of homogenisation algorithm performance on the global scale

Willett, K. M.; Williams, C.; Jolliffe, I.T.; Lund, R.; Alexander, L.; Brönniman, S; Vincent, L.A.; Easterbrook, S; Venema, V.; Berry, D.; Warren, R; Lopardo, G; Auchmann, R; Aguilar, E.; Menne, M. J.; Gallagher, C; Hausfather, Z; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Thorne, Peter

2014

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Comments on: Space-time wind speed forecasting for improved power system dispatch

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Løland, Anders

2014

Leder

Recovering the multivariate dependencies of statistically post-processed ensemble forecasts with ensemble copula coupling

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Joint probabilistic forecasting of temporal trajectories of regional wind and solar power production

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Løland, Anders; Ferkingstad, Egil

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Predicting temporal trajectories of regional wind and solar power production

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Løland, Anders; Ferkingstad, Egil

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Joint probabilistic forecasting of temporal trajectories of regional wind and solar power production

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Løland, Anders; Ferkingstad, Egil

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Using proper divergence functions to evaluate climate models

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Recovering the multivariate dependencies of statistically post-processed ensemble forecasts

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

StfSpot – Short Term forecasts of Demand, Renewable Production and Spot Price – Version 8.0

Huseby, Ragnar Bang; Løland, Anders; Haugen, Marion; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Ferkingstad, Egil; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex

2014

Rapport

StfSpot – Short Term forecasts of Demand and Spot Price – Version 7.0

Huseby, Ragnar Bang; Løland, Anders; Haugen, Marion; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Ferkingstad, Egil; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex

2014

Rapport

StfSpot — Short Term forecasts of Demand, Renewable Production and Spot Price with Bid/Ask curve analysis — Version 9.0

Huseby, Ragnar Bang; Løland, Anders; Haugen, Marion; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Ferkingstad, Egil; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex

2014

Rapport

Lecture notes on Bayesian inference

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex

2014

Rapport

Data assimilation and statistical post-processing for numerical air quality predictions

Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lahoz, William A.; Walker, Sam-Erik

2014

Rapport

Visualizing in R – advanced plotting. Kurs

Orskaug, Elisabeth; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2013

Faglig foredrag

Calibration diagnostics for point process models via the probability integral transform

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2013

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Comparison of non-homogeneous regression models for probabilistic wind speed forecasting

Lerch, Sebastian; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2013

Vitenskapelig artikkel

A note on moving average models for Gaussian random fields

Hansen, Linda Vadgaard; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis L.

2013

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Uncertainty quantification in complex simulation models using ensemble copula coupling

Schefzik, Roman; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Gneiting, Tilmann

2013

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Using Proper Divergence Functions to Evaluate Climate Models

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Gneiting, Tilmann; Gissibl, Nadine

2013

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Using proper divergence functions to evaluate climate models

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Gneiting, Tilmann; Gissibl, Nadine

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Using proper divergence functions to evaluate climate models

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Gneiting, Tilmann; Gissibl, Nadine

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Geometric analysis of textured 3D scenes via locally scaled point processes

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Didden, Eva-Maria; Lenkoski, Alex

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Detecting the differences: Bayesian model selection framework for point process models

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Efﬁcient framework for Bayesian inference in locally scaled point processes

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Didden, Eva-Maria; Lenkoski, Alex

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Improving the evaluation of climate extreme events in global climate models (CMIP5) using proper divergences

Sillmann, Jana; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Paths and pitfalls in prediction verification

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Bayesian model selection for point process cluster models

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Assessing the calibration of high-dimensional forecasts via rank histograms

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Recovering the multivariate dependencies of statistically post-processed ensemble forecasts

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Status for og veier til bedre flomestimering i Norge

Hisdal, Hege; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Alfredsen, Knut; Lawrence, Deborah; Lundquist, Dan; Løland, Anders; Midttømme, Grethe Holm; Tveito, Ole Einar; Wilson, Donna

2013

Rapport

A robust flood estimation framework for Norway

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Alfredsen, Knut; Borsanyi, Peter; Hisdal, Hege; Lawrence, Deborah; Lundquist, Dan; Løland, Anders; Melkersen, Daniel; Midttømme, Grethe Holm; Rüther, Nils; Tingvold, Jens Kristian; Tveito, Ole Einar; Wilson, Donna

2013

Rapport