Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

Forskningsleder

SAMBA

22852560 98046630

thordis@nr.no

Publikasjoner:

147 treff i publikasjoner

Publikasjon

År

Kategori

The Climate Futures Center for Research-based Innovation

2021

Faglig foredrag

Om klimarisiko

2021

Intervju

Bridging the scale gap: obtaining high-resolution stochastic simulations of gridded daily precipitation in a future climate

2021

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Forecast evaluation part III

2021

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Forecast evaluation part II

2021

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Forecast evaluation part I

2021

Vitenskapelig foredrag

On the importance of statistics and machine learning in climate research

2021

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Machine learning vs statistical methods for climate data analysis

2021

Vitenskapelig foredrag

New methods for making consistent IDF curves for Norway

2021

Faglig foredrag

Consistent intensity-duration-frequency curves by post-processing of estimated Bayesian posterior quantiles

2021

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Consistent Intensity-Duration-Frequency curves by post-processing of estimated Bayesian posterior quantiles

2021

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Stedsbasert risiko for vannskader – fase 2: Effekten av bygningsegenskaper, meteorologi og topografi

2021

Rapport

Validation of point process predictions with proper scoring rules

2020

Rapport

Trajectory adjustment of lagged seasonal forecast ensembles

2020

Rapport

Evaluation of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations of historical surface air temperature extremes using proper evaluation methods

2020

Vitenskapelig artikkel

From weather to climate predictions

2020

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Risikomodell for vannskader på bygninger og sensitivitet i klimaframskrivninger

2020

Rapport

Risikomodell for vannskader på bygninger

2020

Rapport

Stedsbasert risiko for vannskader – fase 1: Vurdering av topografiske indekser

2020

Rapport

Predictive Inference Based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo Output

2020

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Estimating seal pup production in the Greenland Sea by using Bayesian hierarchical modelling

2020

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Multivariate Postprocessing Methods for High-Dimensional Seasonal Weather Forecasts

2020

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Spatial trend analysis of gridded temperature data at varying spatial scales

2020

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Rapid Adjustment of Forecast Trajectories: improving short-term forecast skill through statistical post-processing

2019

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Rapid adjustment of weather forecast trajectories

2019

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Stratospheric events and long-range Scandinavian winter surface temperature forecasts

2019

Rapport

Decision support for climate change adaptation: The importance of uncertainty assessment

2019

Vitenskapelig foredrag

On developing general and efficient inference algorithms for complicated hierarchical models

2019

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Statistics in climate research: The importance of stochastic modelling and uncertainty quantification

2019

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Local Climate Projections: A Little Money Goes a Long Way

2019

Anmeldelse

Rapid adjustment and post-processing of temperature forecast trajectories

2019

Vitenskapelig artikkel

HDwave: Statistical space-time projections of wave heights

2019

Poster

The effects of uncertainty on design flood estimation

2019

Vitenskapelig foredrag

New approach for bias correction and stochastic downscaling of future projections for daily mean temperatures to a high-resolution grid

2019

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Statistical space-time projections of wave heights in the North Atlantic

2019

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Validation of point process forecasts

2019

Rapport

Improving forecasts through rapid updating of temperature trajectories and statistical post-processing

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Verification: Assessment of Calibration and Accuracy

2018

Vitenskapelig Kapittel/Artikkel/Konferanseartikkel

Statistics in climate research: The importance of stochastic modelling and uncertainty quantification

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Post-processing climate model output to obtain accurate high-resolution climate projections & why uncertainty matters even if the answer is just a number

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Spatial hierarchical modelling with a large number of potential covariates

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Bayesian hierarchical modeling of extreme flood events

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Varsling av vær og klima i maskinlæringens tid. Hvor gode kan sesongvarslene bli?

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Does Bayes beat squinting? Estimating unobserved aspects of a spatial cluster process

2018

Rapport

Using nerve fibre data as a statistical laboratory

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Does Bayes beat squinting? Bayesian modelling of cluster point process models

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Point processes: Models vs. inference

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Bayesian modelling of cluster point process models

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Estimating seal pup production in the Greenland Sea using Bayesian hierarchical modeling

2018

Rapport

Evaluation of bias corrected precipitation output from the EURO-CORDEX climate ensemble

2018

Rapport

Bayesian regional flood frequency analysis for large catchments

2018

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Nytt rammeverk for flomestimering i Norge: Sluttrapport fra forskningsprosjektet FlomQ

2018

Rapport

Statistical estimation of extreme floods

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

On developing general and efficient inference algorithms for complicated hierarchical models

2018

Vitenskapelig foredrag

How to save Bergen from the sea? Decisions under uncertainty

2018

Fagartikkel

Evaluation of design flood estimates – a case study for Norway

2018

Vitenskapelig artikkel

FlomQ: Improving flood estimation methods for dam safety in Norway

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Verification: assessment of calibration and accuracy

2017

Rapport

Forecast evaluation II

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Forecast evaluation I

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities

2017

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Spatial trend analysis of gridded temperature data sets at varying spatial scales

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Estimating the seal pup abundance in the Greenland Sea with Bayesian hierarchical modeling

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

I don’t know, are you sure you want to do this?

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

If you can’t explain it simply, you don’t understand it well enough

2017

Faglig foredrag

Bayesian modelling of cluster point process models

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

The role of uncertainty in evidence based climate change adaptation

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Sea level adaptation decisions under uncertainty

2017

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Forecaster’s dilemma: Extreme events and forecast evaluation

2017

Vitenskapelig artikkel

New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue

2017

Vitenskapelig oversiktsartikkel/review

Influence of reference period on evaluation of temperature output from the EURO-CORDEX climate ensemble using E-OBS data

2017

Rapport

Evaluation of precipitation output from the EURO-CORDEX climate ensemble using E-OBS data

2017

Rapport

Probabilistic Forecasting of Temporal Trajectories of Regional Power Production

2017

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Estimating seal pup abundance with LGCP

2016

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Report from a workshop on practical and methodological challenges of climate change adaptation

2016

Rapport

Mixture models for statistical flood frequency analysis

2016

Rapport

Challenges of climate change adaptation: Practical and methodological challenges of climate change adaptation

2016

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Regional flood frequency analysis for Norway

2016

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Propagation of rating curve uncertainty in design flood estimation

2016

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Paths and pitfalls in model evaluation: The importance of being proper

2016

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Comments on: Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings

2016

Leder

FlomQ – Hvor sikkert kan dimensjoneringsgrunnlaget bestemmes?

2016

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Flomfrekvensanalyse for umålte felt

2016

Faglig foredrag

Regional flood frequency analysis for Norway

2016

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Regional flood frequency analysis for Norway

2016

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Propagation of rating curve uncertainty in design flood estimation

2016

Poster

Progagation of rating curve uncertainty in design flood estimation

2016

Rapport

Assessing the Calibration of High-Dimensional Ensemble Forecasts Using Rank Histograms

2016

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Assessing the calibration of high-dimensional ensemble forecasts using rank histograms

2015

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Bayesian motion estimation for dust aerosols

2015

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Shape from texture using locally scaled point processes

2015

Vitenskapelig artikkel

StfSpot — Short Term forecasts of Demand, Renewable Production and Spot Price with Bid/Ask curve analysis — Version 9.5

2015

Rapport

Spatial postprocessing of ensemble forecasts for temperature using nonhomogeneous Gaussian regression

2015

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Gaussian random particles with flexible Hausdorff dimension

2015

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Bayesian hierarchical modeling of extreme hourly precipitation in Norway

2015

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Data assimilation and statistical post-processing for numerical air quality predictions

2014

Rapport

A robust flood estimation framework for Norway

2014

Faglig foredrag

Lecture notes on Bayesian inference

2014

Rapport

FlomQ – A robust flood estimation framework for Norway

2014

Faglig foredrag

FlomQ – flomberegningsprosjekt

2014

Faglig foredrag

Joint probabilistic forecasting of temporal trajectories of regional wind and solar power production

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Using proper divergence functions to evaluate climate models

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Joint probabilistic forecasting of temporal trajectories of regional wind and solar power production

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Recovering the multivariate dependencies of statistically post-processed ensemble forecasts with ensemble copula coupling

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Predicting temporal trajectories of regional wind and solar power production

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Concepts for benchmarking of homogenisation algorithm performance on the global scale

2014

Vitenskapelig artikkel

StfSpot — Short Term forecasts of Demand, Renewable Production and Spot Price with Bid/Ask curve analysis — Version 9.0

2014

Rapport

A framework for benchmarking of homogenisation algorithm performance on the global scale

2014

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Recovering the multivariate dependencies of statistically post-processed ensemble forecasts

2014

Vitenskapelig foredrag

StfSpot – Short Term forecasts of Demand, Renewable Production and Spot Price – Version 8.0

2014

Rapport

Studying statistical methodology in climate research: Stats + climate workshop; Oslo, Norway, 11-13 November 2013

2014

Vitenskapelig artikkel

StfSpot – Short Term forecasts of Demand and Spot Price – Version 7.0

2014

Rapport

Comments on: Space-time wind speed forecasting for improved power system dispatch

2014

Leder

Visualizing in R – advanced plotting. Kurs

2013

Faglig foredrag

A note on the calculation of weighted maintenance objects for hydro power plants

2013

Rapport

Using Proper Divergence Functions to Evaluate Climate Models

2013

Vitenskapelig artikkel

StfSpot – Short Term forecasts of Demand and Spot Price – Version 6.0

2013

Rapport

Statistiske metoder for korreksjon av deterministiske luftforurensningsprognoser

2013

Rapport

Uncertainty quantification in complex simulation models using ensemble copula coupling

2013

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Improving the evaluation of climate extreme events in global climate models (CMIP5) using proper divergences

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Comparison of non-homogeneous regression models for probabilistic wind speed forecasting

2013

Vitenskapelig artikkel

A robust flood estimation framework for Norway

2013

Rapport

Status for og veier til bedre flomestimering i Norge

2013

Rapport

Geometric analysis of textured 3D scenes via locally scaled point processes

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Efficient framework for Bayesian inference in locally scaled point processes

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Using proper divergence functions to evaluate climate models

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Using proper divergence functions to evaluate climate models

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Detecting the differences: Bayesian model selection framework for point process models

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Calibration diagnostics for point process models via the probability integral transform

2013

Vitenskapelig artikkel

StfSpot – Short Term forecasts of Demand and Spot Price – Version 5.0

2013

Rapport

Assessing the calibration of high-dimensional forecasts via rank histograms

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Bayesian model selection for point process cluster models

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Recovering the multivariate dependencies of statistically post-processed ensemble forecasts

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Paths and pitfalls in prediction verification

2013

Vitenskapelig foredrag

A note on moving average models for Gaussian random fields

2013

Vitenskapelig artikkel

Statistical post-processing of ensemble forecasts

2012

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Proper scoring rules and divergences to evaluate weather and climate models

2012

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Bayesian model selection for point process cluster models

2012

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Proper scoring rules and divergences — with an application to climate model ranking

2012

Vitenskapelig foredrag

Statistical post-processing of ensemble forecasts

2012

Vitenskapelig artikkel

A note on moving average models for Gaussian random fields

2012

Rapport

Forecast verification for extreme value distributions with an application to probabilistic peak wind prediction

2012

Vitenskapelig artikkel

What Happened to Discrete Chaos, the Quenouille Process, and the Sharp Markov Property? Some History of Stochastic Point Processes

2012

Vitenskapelig oversiktsartikkel/review

What happened to discrete chaos, the Quenouille process, and the sharp Markov property? Some history of stochastic point processes

2012

Rapport

Bayesian Inference for Non-Markovian Point Processes

2012

Vitenskapelig Kapittel/Artikkel/Konferanseartikkel

Bayesian Inference for Non-Markovian Point Processes

2010

Rapport

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