Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

Assessing uncertainty in hydrological projections arising from local-scale internal variability of climate

Yuan, Qifen; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis; Beldring, Stein; Wong, Wai Kwok; Xu, Chong-Yu

Estimating extreme areal precipitation from gridded data products

Roksvåg, Thea Julie Thømt; Lutz, Julia; Dyrrdal, Anita Verpe; Lussana, Cristian; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis

A Benchmarking Dataset for Seasonal Weather Forecasts

Lenkoski, Alex; Kolstad, Erik Wilhelm; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Prediction of the time to hard freeze using seasonal weather forecasts and survival time methods

Roksvåg, Thea; Lenkoski, Alex; Scheuerer, Michael; Heinrich, Claudio Constantin; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Episode 16: Climate Futures. Klimaprognoser for 10 dager til 10 år fram / Predicting climate risks 10 days to 10 years ahead

Probabilistic prediction of the time to hard freeze using seasonal weather forecasts and survival time methods

Roksvåg, Thea; Lenkoski, Alex; Sheuerer, Michael; Heinrich, Claudio Constantin; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Potensialet i data

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Solberg, Rune; Lenkoski, Alex; Roksvåg, Thea

On the importance of statistics and machine learning in climate research

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Regional flood-Duration-Frequency (QDF) Models for Norway

Barna, Danielle; Engeland, Kolbjørn; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Xu, Chong-Yu

Flood-duration-frequency (QDF) Modeling: Updates and Current Status

Barna, Danielle; Engeland, Kolbjørn; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Xu, Chong-Yu

A Bayesian framework to derive consistent intensity-duration-frequency curves from multiple data sources

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Roksvåg, Thea; Lutz, Julia; Grinde, Lars; Dyrrdal, Anita Verpe

Consistent estimation of extreme precipitation and flooding across multiple durations

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Barna, Danielle; Roksvåg, Thea; Engeland, Kolbjørn; Xu, Chong-Yu; Lutz, Julia; Dyrrdal, Anita Verpe; Grinde, Lars

Forecasting: theory and practice

Petropoulos, Fotios; Apiletti, Daniele; Assimakopoulos, Vassilios; Babai, Mohamed Zied; Barrow, Devon K.; Ben Taieb, Souhaib; Bergmeir, Christoph; Bessa, Ricardo J.; Bijak, Jakub; Boylan, John E.; Browell, Jethro; Carnevale, Claudio; Castle, Jennifer L.; Cirillo, Pasquale; Clements, Michael P.; Cordeiro, Clara; Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando Luiz; De Baets, Shari; Dokumentov, Alexander; Ellison, Joanne; Fiszeder, Piotr; Franses, Philip Hans; Frazier, David T.; Gilliland, Michael; Gönül, M. Sinan; Goodwin, Paul; Grossi, Luigi; Grushka-Cockayne, Yael; Guidolin, Mariangela; Guidolin, Massimo; Gunter, Ulrich; Guo, Xiaojia; Guseo, Renato; Harvey, Nigel; Hendry, David F.; Hollyman, Ross; Januschowski, Tim; Jeon, Jooyoung; Jose, Victor Richmond R.; Kang, Yanfei; Koehler, Anne B.; Kolassa, Stephan; Kourentzes, Nikolaos; Leva, Sonia; Li, Feng; Litsiou, Konstantia; Makridakis, Spyros; Martin, Gael M.; Martinez, Andrew B.; Meeran, Sheik; Modis, Theodore; Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos; Önkal, Dilek; Paccagnini, Alessia; Panagiotelis, Anastasios; Panapakidis, Ioannis; Pavía, Jose M.; Pedio, Manuela; Pedregal, Diego J.; Pinson, Pierre; Ramos, Patrícia; Rapach, David E.; Reade, J. James; Rostami-Tabar, Bahman; Rubaszek, Michał; Sermpinis, Georgios; Shang, Han Lin; Spiliotis, Evangelos; Syntetos, Aris A.; Talagala, Priyanga Dilini; Talagala, Thiyanga S.; Tashman, Len; Thomakos, Dimitrios; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Todini, Ezio; Trapero Arenas, Juan Ramón; Wang, Xiaoqian; Winkler, Robert L.; Yusupova, Alisa; Ziel, Florian

Stedsbasert risiko for vannskader – fase 2: Effekten av bygningsegenskaper, meteorologi og topografi

Wahl, Jens Christian; Heinrich, Claudio; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis; Haug, Ola

Consistent intensity-duration-frequency curves by post-processing of estimated Bayesian posterior quantiles

Roksvåg, Thea; Lutz, Julia; Grinde, Lars; Dyrrdal, Anita Verpe; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Bridging the scale gap: obtaining high-resolution stochastic simulations of gridded daily precipitation in a future climate

Yuan, Qifen; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Beldring, Stein; Wong, Wai Kwok; Xu, Chong-Yu

Machine learning vs statistical methods for climate data analysis

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Forecast evaluation part II

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Forecast evaluation part III

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Prediksjon av lavvann ved Åbjøra

Roksvåg, Thea; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Spatial trend analysis of gridded temperature data at varying spatial scales

Haug, Ola; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Sørbye, Sigrunn Holbek; Franzke, Christian L.E.

Multivariate Postprocessing Methods for High-Dimensional Seasonal Weather Forecasts

Heinrich, Claudio Constantin; Hellton, Kristoffer Herland; Lenkoski, Alex; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Risikomodell for vannskader på bygninger og sensitivitet i klimaframskrivninger

Heinrich, Claudio; Wahl, Jens Christian; Matre, Andreas; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis; Haug, Ola

Estimating seal pup production in the Greenland Sea by using Bayesian hierarchical modelling

Jullum, Martin; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Bachl, Fabian E.

Predictive Inference Based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo Output

Krüger, Fabian; Lerch, Sebastian; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis; Gneiting, Tilmann

Validation of point process predictions with proper scoring rules

Heinrich, Claudio Constantin; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Schneider, Max; Guttorp, Peter

Rapid adjustment and post-processing of temperature forecast trajectories

Schuhen, Nina; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex

Local Climate Projections: A Little Money Goes a Long Way

Guttorp, Peter; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Rapid Adjustment of Forecast Trajectories: improving short-term forecast skill through statistical post-processing

Schuhen, Nina; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex

On developing general and efficient inference algorithms for complicated hierarchical models

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

The effects of uncertainty on design flood estimation

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Engeland, Kolbjørn; Kobierska, Florian

Validation of point process forecasts

Heinrich, Claudio Constantin; Schneider, Max; Guttorp, Peter; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

How to save Bergen from the sea? Decisions under uncertainty

Guttorp, Peter; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Bayesian regional flood frequency analysis for large catchments

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Hellton, Kristoffer Herland; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Schlichting, Lena; Engeland, Kolbjørn

Statistical estimation of extreme floods

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Hellton, Kristoffer Herland; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Schlichting, Lena; Engeland, Kolbjørn

Bayesian modelling of cluster point process models

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Point processes: Models vs. inference

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

On developing general and efficient inference algorithms for complicated hierarchical models

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex; Hellton, Kristoffer Herland; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Dyrrdal, Anita Verpe; Stordal, Frode; Schlichting, Lena; Engeland, Kolbjørn

Statistics in climate research: The importance of stochastic modelling and uncertainty quantification

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Yuan, Qifen; Wong, Wai Kwok; Beldring, Stein; Huang, Shaochun; Xu, Chong-Yu; Guttorp, Peter

Bayesian hierarchical modeling of extreme flood events

Hellton, Kristoffer Herland; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Evaluation of bias corrected precipitation output from the EURO-CORDEX climate ensemble

Vandeskog, Silius Mortensønn; Haugen, Marion; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Does Bayes beat squinting? Estimating unobserved aspects of a spatial cluster process

Albert-Green, Alisha; Guttorp, Peter; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

If you can’t explain it simply, you don’t understand it well enough

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Sea level adaptation decisions under uncertainty

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Guttorp, Peter; Drews, Martin; Skougaard Kaspersen, Per; Bruin, Karianne de

Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities

Sillmann, Jana; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Keenlyside, Noel; Schaller, Nathalie; Alexander, L. V.; Hegerl, Gabi; Seneviratne, Sonia I.; Vautard, Robert; Zhang, Xuebin; Zwiers, Francis W.

The role of uncertainty in evidence based climate change adaptation

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Guttorp, Peter; Drews, Martin; Skougaard Kaspersen, Per; Bruin, Karianne de

Spatial trend analysis of gridded temperature data sets at varying spatial scales

Haug, Ola; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Sørbye, Sigrunn Holbek; Franzke, Christian

Estimating the seal pup abundance in the Greenland Sea with Bayesian hierarchical modeling

Jullum, Martin; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Bachl, Fabian

Forecast evaluation I

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Influence of reference period on evaluation of temperature output from the EURO-CORDEX climate ensemble using E-OBS data

Haugen, Marion; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Verification: assessment of calibration and accuracy

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Schuhen, Nina

Propagation of rating curve uncertainty in design flood estimation

Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Reitan, Trond; Schlichting, Lena; Hølleland, Sondre; Engeland, Kolbjørn

Challenges of climate change adaptation: Practical and methodological challenges of climate change adaptation

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Bruin, Karianne de

Comments on: Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings

Lenkoski, Alex; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Regional flood frequency analysis for Norway

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Engeland, Kolbjørn; Lenkoski, Alex; Schlichting, Lena

Regional flood frequency analysis for Norway

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Engeland, Kolbjørn; Lenkoski, Alex; Schlichting, Lena

Regional flood frequency analysis for Norway

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Report from a workshop on practical and methodological challenges of climate change adaptation

Bruin, Karianne de; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Shape from texture using locally scaled point processes

Didden, Eva-Maria; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex; Schnörr, Christoph

Spatial postprocessing of ensemble forecasts for temperature using nonhomogeneous Gaussian regression

Feldmann, Kira; Scheuerer, Michael; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Gaussian random particles with flexible Hausdorff dimension

Hansen, Linda V.; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Ovcharov, Evgeni; Gneiting, Tilmann; Richards, Donald P

StfSpot — Short Term forecasts of Demand, Renewable Production and Spot Price with Bid/Ask curve analysis — Version 9.5

Huseby, Ragnar Bang; Løland, Anders; Haugen, Marion; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Ferkingstad, Egil; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex

FlomQ – flomberegningsprosjekt

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

A framework for benchmarking of homogenisation algorithm performance on the global scale

Willett, K. M.; Williams, C. N.; Jolliffe, I.T.; Lund, Robert; Alexander, L.V.; Bronnimann, S; Vincent, L.A.; Easterbrook, S; Venema, V.; Berry, David; Warren, R; Lopardo, G; Auchmann, R; Aguilar, E.; Menne, M. J.; Gallagher, C; Hausfather, Z; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Thorne, Peter

Concepts for benchmarking of homogenisation algorithm performance on the global scale

Willett, K. M.; Williams, C.; Jolliffe, I.T.; Lund, R.; Alexander, L.; Brönniman, S; Vincent, L.A.; Easterbrook, S; Venema, V.; Berry, D.; Warren, R; Lopardo, G; Auchmann, R; Aguilar, E.; Menne, M. J.; Gallagher, C; Hausfather, Z; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Thorne, Peter

Recovering the multivariate dependencies of statistically post-processed ensemble forecasts with ensemble copula coupling

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Predicting temporal trajectories of regional wind and solar power production

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Løland, Anders; Ferkingstad, Egil

Using proper divergence functions to evaluate climate models

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

StfSpot – Short Term forecasts of Demand and Spot Price – Version 7.0

Huseby, Ragnar Bang; Løland, Anders; Haugen, Marion; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Ferkingstad, Egil; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex

Lecture notes on Bayesian inference

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Lenkoski, Alex

Visualizing in R – advanced plotting. Kurs

Orskaug, Elisabeth; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Comparison of non-homogeneous regression models for probabilistic wind speed forecasting

Lerch, Sebastian; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Uncertainty quantification in complex simulation models using ensemble copula coupling

Schefzik, Roman; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Gneiting, Tilmann

Using proper divergence functions to evaluate climate models

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Gneiting, Tilmann; Gissibl, Nadine

Geometric analysis of textured 3D scenes via locally scaled point processes

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Didden, Eva-Maria; Lenkoski, Alex

Efficient framework for Bayesian inference in locally scaled point processes

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Didden, Eva-Maria; Lenkoski, Alex

Paths and pitfalls in prediction verification

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Assessing the calibration of high-dimensional forecasts via rank histograms

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Status for og veier til bedre flomestimering i Norge

Hisdal, Hege; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Alfredsen, Knut; Lawrence, Deborah; Lundquist, Dan; Løland, Anders; Midttømme, Grethe Holm; Tveito, Ole Einar; Wilson, Donna

StfSpot – Short Term forecasts of Demand and Spot Price – Version 5.0

Huseby, Ragnar Bang; Løland, Anders; Haugen, Marion; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Ferkingstad, Egil; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

StfSpot – Short Term forecasts of Demand and Spot Price – Version 6.0

Huseby, Ragnar Bang; Løland, Anders; Haugen, Marion; Steinbakk, Gunnhildur Högnadóttir; Ferkingstad, Egil; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

What Happened to Discrete Chaos, the Quenouille Process, and the Sharp Markov Property? Some History of Stochastic Point Processes

Guttorp, Peter; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis L.

Statistical post-processing of ensemble forecasts

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda; Scheuerer, Michael; Feldmann, Kira

Proper scoring rules and divergences — with an application to climate model ranking

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Proper scoring rules and divergences to evaluate weather and climate models

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

A note on moving average models for Gaussian random fields

Hansen, Linda Vadgaard; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda

Bayesian Inference for Non-Markovian Point Processes

Guttorp, Peter; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis L.