Professor II

Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

Prosjekter

  • Maskinlæring

Robust estimering av ekstreme flomhendelser i Norge

Bildet viser en tung regnværsdag i Bergen sentrum. Det er fotgjengere som krysser gaten mellom to eldre bygninger foran på bildet. I bakgrunnen er det tåkebelagte fjell.
  • Statistisk modellering

Risikomodell for vannskader på bygninger og klimasensitivitet

Publikasjoner

  • 189 publikasjoner funnet
  • Utgiver

Contribution to the Discussion of 'Some statistical aspects of the Covid-19 response' by Wood et al Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (Statistics in Society), (ISSN 0964-1998 1467-985X ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssa/qnaf080 , 2025. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Areal reduction factors from gridded data products Journal of Hydrology, vol. 635, pp. 1 12 , (ISSN 0022-1694 1879-2707 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131177 , 2024. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral

Validation of point process predictions with proper scoring rules Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, vol. 51, pp. 1533 1566 , (ISSN 0303-6898 1467-9469 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/sjos.12736 , 2024. Vitenskapelig artikkel

From weather to climate predictions 2023. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Yield predictions of timothy (Phleum pratense L.) in Norway under future climate scenarios Agricultural and Food Science, vol. 32, pp. 80 93 , (ISSN 1459-6067 1795-1895 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.23986/afsci.127935 , 2023. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Flexible and consistent Flood–Duration–Frequency modeling: A Bayesian approach Journal of Hydrology, vol. 620, (ISSN 0022-1694 1879-2707 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129448 , 2023. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Assessing present and future risk of water damage using building attributes, meteorology, and topography Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics), vol. 72, pp. 809 828 , (ISSN 0035-9254 1467-9876 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssc/qlad043 , 2023. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral

Probabilistic prediction of the time to hard freeze using seasonal weather forecasts and survival time methods Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, (ISSN 0035-9009 1477-870X ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4403 , 2022. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Potensialet i data 2022. Faglig foredrag

Forecasting: theory and practice International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 38, pp. 705 871 , (ISSN 0169-2070 1872-8200 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.11.001 , 2022. Vitenskapelig oversiktsartikkel/review

Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral Oslo
Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral

Consistent intensity-duration-frequency curves by post-processing of estimated Bayesian posterior quantiles Journal of Hydrology, vol. 603, pp. 1 15 , (ISSN 0022-1694 1879-2707 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127000 , 2021. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Qifen Yuan; Thordis Linda Thorarinsdottir; Stein Beldring; Wai Kwok Wong; Chong-Yu Xu; Bridging the scale gap: obtaining high-resolution stochastic simulations of gridded daily precipitation in a future climate Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol. 25, pp. 5259 5275 , (ISSN 1027-5606 1607-7938 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5259-2021 , 2021. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Thordis Linda Thorarinsdottir; Erik Wilhelm Kolstad; Om klimarisiko , 2021. Intervju

Forecast evaluation part II 2021. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Forecast evaluation part I 2021. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Forecast evaluation part III 2021. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral

A Bayesian approach to Flood-Duration-Analysis 2021. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Bridging the scale gap: obtaining high-resolution stochastic simulations of gridded daily precipitation in a future climate Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS), vol. 25, pp. 5259 5275 , (ISSN 1027-5606 1607-7938 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5259-2021 , 2021. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Spatial trend analysis of gridded temperature data at varying spatial scales Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography (ASCMO), vol. 6, pp. 1 12 , (ISSN 2364-3579 2364-3587 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-6-1-2020 , 2020. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Multivariate Postprocessing Methods for High-Dimensional Seasonal Weather Forecasts Journal of the American Statistical Association, (ISSN 0162-1459 1537-274X ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2020.1769634 , 2020. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral

From weather to climate predictions 2020. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Estimating seal pup production in the Greenland Sea by using Bayesian hierarchical modelling Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics), vol. 69, (ISSN 0035-9254 1467-9876 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/rssc.12397 , 2020. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Evaluation of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations of historical surface air temperature extremes using proper evaluation methods Environmental Research Letters, vol. 15, pp. 124041 124041 , (ISSN 1748-9326 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc778 , 2020. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Predictive Inference Based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo Output International Statistical Review, (ISSN 0306-7734 1751-5823 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/insr.12405 , 2020. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral
Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral

Rapid adjustment and post-processing of temperature forecast trajectories Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, (ISSN 0035-9009 1477-870X ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3718 , 2019. Vitenskapelig artikkel

New approach for bias correction and stochastic downscaling of future projections for daily mean temperatures to a high-resolution grid Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, vol. 58, pp. 2617 2632 , (ISSN 1558-8424 1558-8432 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0086.1 , 2019. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Local Climate Projections: A Little Money Goes a Long Way EOS, vol. 100, (ISSN 0096-3941 2324-9250 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EO133113 , 2019. Anmeldelse

Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral

How to save Bergen from the sea? Decisions under uncertainty Significance, vol. 15, pp. 14 18 , (ISSN 1740-9705 1740-9713 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2018.01125.x , 2018. Fagartikkel

Evaluation of design flood estimates - a case study for Norway Hydrology Research, vol. 49, pp. 450 465 , (ISSN 1998-9563 2224-7955 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2017.068 , 2018. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Bayesian regional flood frequency analysis for large catchments Water Resources Research, vol. 54, pp. 6929 6947 , (ISSN 0043-1397 1944-7973 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2017WR022460 , 2018. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Verification: Assessment of Calibration and Accuracy pp. 155 186 , doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-812372-0.00006-6 , 2018. Vitenskapelig Kapittel/Artikkel/Konferanseartikkel

Statistical estimation of extreme floods 2018. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Point processes: Models vs. inference 2018. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral
Utgiver Energi Norge

New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue Nature Climate Change, vol. 7, pp. 697 703 , (ISSN 1758-678X 1758-6798 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3393 , 2017. Vitenskapelig oversiktsartikkel/review

Sea level adaptation decisions under uncertainty Water Resources Research, vol. 53, pp. 8147 8163 , (ISSN 0043-1397 1944-7973 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016WR020354 , 2017. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Forecaster's dilemma: Extreme events and forecast evaluation Statistical Science, vol. 32, pp. 106 127 , (ISSN 0883-4237 2168-8745 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1214/16-STS588 , 2017. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities Weather and Climate Extremes, vol. 18, pp. 65 74 , (ISSN 2212-0947 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2017.10.003 , 2017. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Forecast evaluation I 2017. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Forecast evaluation II 2017. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral
Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral

Flomfrekvensanalyse for umålte felt 2016. Faglig foredrag

Assessing the Calibration of High-Dimensional Ensemble Forecasts Using Rank Histograms Journal of Computational And Graphical Statistics (JCGS), vol. 25, pp. 105 122 , (ISSN 1061-8600 1537-2715 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/10618600.2014.977447 , 2016. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Challenges of climate change adaptation: Practical and methodological challenges of climate change adaptation EOS, vol. 97, (ISSN 0096-3941 2324-9250 ), , 2016. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Propagation of rating curve uncertainty in design flood estimation Water Resources Research, vol. 52, pp. 6897 6915 , (ISSN 0043-1397 1944-7973 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015WR018516 , 2016. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Comments on: Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B (Statistical Methodology), vol. 78, pp. 548 548 , (ISSN 1369-7412 1467-9868 ), 2016. Leder

Estimating seal pup abundance with LGCP 2016. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Regional flood frequency analysis for Norway 2016. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Regional flood frequency analysis for Norway 2016. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Regional flood frequency analysis for Norway 2016. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral

Shape from texture using locally scaled point processes Image Analysis and Stereology, vol. 34, pp. 161 170 , (ISSN 1580-3139 1854-5165 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.5566/ias.1078 , 2015. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Bayesian motion estimation for dust aerosols Annals of Applied Statistics, vol. 9, pp. 1298 1327 , (ISSN 1932-6157 1941-7330 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1214/15-AOAS835 , 2015. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Spatial postprocessing of ensemble forecasts for temperature using nonhomogeneous Gaussian regression Monthly Weather Review, vol. 143, pp. 955 971 , (ISSN 0027-0644 1520-0493 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00210.1 , 2015. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Bayesian hierarchical modeling of extreme hourly precipitation in Norway Environmetrics, vol. 26, pp. 89 106 , (ISSN 1180-4009 1099-095X ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2301 , 2015. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Gaussian random particles with flexible Hausdorff dimension Advances in Applied Probability, vol. 47, pp. 307 327 , (ISSN 0001-8678 1475-6064 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1239/aap/1435236977 , 2015. Vitenskapelig artikkel

FlomQ - flomberegningsprosjekt 2014. Faglig foredrag

A framework for benchmarking of homogenisation algorithm performance on the global scale Geoscientific Instrumentation, Methods and Data Systems, vol. 3, pp. 187 200 , (ISSN 2193-0856 2193-0864 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-3-187-2014 , 2014. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Concepts for benchmarking of homogenisation algorithm performance on the global scale Geoscientific Instrumentation, Methods and Data Systems Discussions, vol. 4, pp. 235 270 , (ISSN 2193-0872 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gid-4-235-2014 , 2014. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Comments on: Space-time wind speed forecasting for improved power system dispatch Test - An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 23, pp. 32 33 , (ISSN 1133-0686 1863-8260 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11749-014-0354-x , 2014. Leder

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts 2014. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral

Calibration diagnostics for point process models via the probability integral transform Stat, vol. 2, pp. 150 158 , (ISSN 2049-1573 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/sta4.25 , 2013. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Comparison of non-homogeneous regression models for probabilistic wind speed forecasting Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, vol. 65, (ISSN 0280-6495 1600-0870 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v65i0.21206 , 2013. Vitenskapelig artikkel

A note on moving average models for Gaussian random fields Statistics and Probability Letters, vol. 83, pp. 850 855 , (ISSN 0167-7152 1879-2103 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2012.12.009 , 2013. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Uncertainty quantification in complex simulation models using ensemble copula coupling Statistical Science, vol. 28, pp. 616 640 , (ISSN 0883-4237 2168-8745 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1214/13-STS443 , 2013. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Using Proper Divergence Functions to Evaluate Climate Models SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification (JUQ), vol. 1, pp. 522 534 , (ISSN 2166-2525 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1137/130907550 , 2013. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Paths and pitfalls in prediction verification 2013. Vitenskapelig foredrag

Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral
Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral

What Happened to Discrete Chaos, the Quenouille Process, and the Sharp Markov Property? Some History of Stochastic Point Processes International Statistical Review, vol. 80, pp. 253 268 , (ISSN 0306-7734 1751-5823 ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1751-5823.2012.00181.x , 2012. Vitenskapelig oversiktsartikkel/review

Forecast verification for extreme value distributions with an application to probabilistic peak wind prediction Environmetrics, vol. 23, pp. 579 594 , (ISSN 1180-4009 1099-095X ), doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2176 , 2012. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Statistical post-processing of ensemble forecasts Promet (Offenbach), vol. 37, pp. 43 52 , (ISSN 0340-4552 2194-5950 ), 2012. Vitenskapelig artikkel

Bayesian Inference for Non-Markovian Point Processes pp. 79 102 , doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-17086-7_4 , 2012. Vitenskapelig Kapittel/Artikkel/Konferanseartikkel

Utgiver Centre for Stochastic Geometry and Advanced Bioimaging
Utgiver Norsk Regnesentral